Baccarat Tie Bet Calculator

Calculate the probability, house edge, and expected value of the baccarat tie bet. Understand why this bet has one of the highest house edges in the casino.

Formula:House Edge = 1 - P(tie) × (payout + 1)

House Edge

14.32%

Tie Probability

9.52%

1 in 10.5 hands

Payout

8:1

True: 9.5:1

Expected Loss

$1.432

Per bet

$

Amount wagered on tie

Most casinos pay 8:1

Affects tie probability slightly

Warning: High House Edge Bet

The tie bet at 8:1 has a 14.32% house edge - one of the worst bets in the casino. For comparison, banker is 1.06% and player is 1.24%.

Baccarat Bet Comparison

BetWin ProbabilityPayoutHouse Edge
Banker45.86%0.95:11.06%
Player44.62%1:11.24%
Tie (8:1)9.52%8:114.36%
Tie (9:1)9.52%9:14.84%

Consecutive Tie Probabilities

The probability of multiple ties in a row is very low:

2 ties in a row
0.9063%
1 in 110
3 ties in a row
0.0863%
1 in 1,159
4 ties in a row
0.0082%
1 in 12,175
5 ties in a row
0.0008%
1 in 127,884

Key Facts

  • •Tie occurs approximately 9.52% of the time (1 in 10.5 hands)
  • •Standard 8:1 payout creates 14.36% house edge
  • •9:1 payout (rare) reduces edge to 4.84%
  • •True fair odds would be approximately 9.5:1
  • •Main game bets ignored during tie - only tie bets win

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the house edge on the baccarat tie bet?

At the standard 8:1 payout, the house edge is 14.36% - one of the worst bets in the casino. At 9:1 (rare), the edge drops to 4.84%, which is still high but more reasonable.

How often does a tie occur in baccarat?

Ties occur about 9.52% of the time in an 8-deck game (roughly 1 in 10.5 hands). This translates to true odds of about 9.5:1, but the casino only pays 8:1.

Why is the tie bet considered a bad bet?

The tie bet pays 8:1 but occurs less than 10% of the time. True fair odds would be about 9.5:1. This gap creates a massive 14.36% house edge. Even the 9:1 payout (4.84% edge) is worse than banker (1.06%) or player (1.24%).

Can the tie bet ever be profitable?

In the very short term, yes - any single tie pays 8x your bet. But over time, the 14.36% edge will grind away your bankroll much faster than playing banker or player.